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• RESULTS IN A TURNOVER FOOTBALL FULL

San Jose State: 6.8 turnover luck, +2.5 points per game New Mexico: 3.8 turnover luck, +1.4 points per gameġ2. Nevada: 3.7 turnover luck, +1.4 points per gameĢ5. UNLV: 2.9 turnover luck, +1.1 points per gameĢ6. Air Force: 3.0 turnover luck, +1.1 points per gameģ1. Hawaii: 2.4 turnover luck, +0.8 points per gameģ2. Boise State: 2.3 turnover luck, +0.7 points per gameĤ1.

San Diego State: 1.6 turnover luck, +0.6 points per gameĤ3. Wyoming: -3.1 turnover luck, -1.1 points per gameĤ9.

Utah State: -7.3 turnover luck, -2.5 points per gameĩ1. Colorado State: -7.0 turnover luck, -2.6 points per gameġ19. Fresno State: -9.7 turnover luck, -3.1 points per gameġ21. How did the conference stack up as a whole?ġ25. If Cooper Legas can stay healthy and make strides with the starting job in hand next fall, that could make Utah State a positive regression candidate after a disappointing 2022.

RESULTS IN A TURNOVER FOOTBALL FULL

The Aggies threw 21 interceptions on 398 total pass attempts, a staggering 5.2% rate that also happened to represent a full one-third (33.3%) of passes defended against them, one of eight unfortunate teams to crack 30%. He notes that “a turnover is worth about 4-5 points in terms of field position value”, meaning that it can be a fairly significant influence on the outcome of any single game.Īs proof of that point, Connelly’s list of offenses that were impacted most by opponents turning defended passes into interceptions includes Utah State. In particular, Connelly examined fumble luck and the ratio of interceptions to pass breakups, both of which are hard to predict at any given time and could be something to watch with regard to regression candidates, both positive and negative, in the Mountain West. Mountain West Football: Who Had The Most Turnover Luck in 2022?ĮSPN’s Bill Connelly looked back at fortunes that were shaped by a knack for taking the ball away (or not) in 2022.Ĭontact/Follow & Some interesting revelations.Īfter previously measuring how FBS ranked by returning production for 2023 and by initial SP+ projections, ESPN’s Bill Connelly took a closer look at how the 2022 season got shaped by turnover luck.